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18 December 1995
No Return to Communism in the CIS
The early returns from the elections for the State Duma in the former Soviet
Union suggest a return to power for the old Communist Party. While this
is hardly surprising given the dreadful economic conditions, the current
communists are about as socialist as Tony Blair. The communist parties in
eastern Europe have little connection with communism and far more with the
austerity measures of their neo-liberal counterparts in the west. Party
leader Gennady Zyuganov is a 'communist' who supports market reforms and
a pro-western foreign policy. He has been at pains to promise that the Wet
has nothing to fear from the election of the former communists to power.
It is reported that the age expectancy has fallen by ten years since the
collapse of the Iron Curtain - a consequence of market reforms. That alone
would be enough to put anybody off the new policies of cutback and austerity
which have characterised the last five years. Perhaps the only surprising
thing is that the 'democratic' parties lasted so long with that kind of
record of achievement. But if the Russian people expect the former communists
to be any gentler with reforms they will be disappointed.
Most commentators have been surprised at the way that the anti-communist
dissidents have been swept from power in Eastern Europe and the Confederation
of Independent States. But it has become clear that poets and electricians
cannot run governments. Dissidents like Vaclav Havel in Czechoslovakia,
Lech Walesa in Poland and Alexander Solzhenitsyn in Russia proved to be
useful figures to rally opposition to the old order, but no good at implementing
market reforms. The re-election of the old communists is a vote for people
who have the experience and connections to run the country and has little
to do with any substantial political difference, still less is it a return
to 1917.
David Nolan
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